Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Market News: Ibrahim Karin, Director of Turkish Intelligence Agency, has arrived in the Syrian capital.Wal-Mart Nuclear Materials: 224G high-speed communication line products have been delivered stably in batches, and Wal-Mart Nuclear Materials has released a record of investor relations activities. The company's demand for high-speed communication line orders continues to grow, and the machines are running at full capacity. It is expected that a number of key equipment will arrive in 2025. The 224G high-speed communication line products of Le Ting Zhilian, a subsidiary, have been delivered to direct customers in batches. In addition, the company's subsidiary has established a long-term and stable supply cooperation relationship with Huawei and signed a confidentiality agreement with it.
Syrian Information Minister: Turkish Foreign Minister, Intelligence Minister and Qatar National Security Minister met with Syrian opposition leader Shara and caretaker Prime Minister Bashir in Damascus.The change value of EIA natural gas inventory in the week of December 6 in the United States recorded-190 billion cubic feet, the largest decline since the week of January 26, 2024. Expected-165 billion cubic feet, previous value-30 billion cubic feet.GBP/USD fell 0.4% to 1.2700, the lowest level in a week.
Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.Market News: Trump Group plans to cooperate with DAR GLOBAL to build Trump Tower in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14